As a baby his mother fed him frogs, and a wide assortment of lizards, and
It made him tough, wise and strange, and gave him the mind of a wizard.
Please forgive the fact that the text here repeats some, but parts of this were written at different times (literally diff decades) and have been wedged together on a daily/yearly basis. Also remember that my hands hurt (see image above) and I HATE TYPING, so watch for hypos. Please forgive the fact that the text here repeats some, but parts of this were written at different times.
In case you are new to this site, I will point out that these pages deal with both short term and long term phenomena. I have kept up with what is happening astronomically and geo-politically on a daily basis for a long time, and attempt to point to long term trends in areas such as California earthquakes and Atlantic hurricanes. There is a lot of material here, and it could take some of you a year to read it all.
As you read, you will see that I am presenting a 'method' that can be easily learned and used, and that this is directed to serious students first. I have included enough graphs, tables, charts and links to software on this page, that any organized person should be able to put them to use immediately. I also include a plethora of historic examples.
The method involves watching the patterns of eclipse timings, the timing of tidal peaks, and the rhythms of planetary geometric configurations in general. The research method entails examining a data base of disaster events in an attempt to isolate repeating astronomical factors that correlate to those. When I make a forecast, it is always backed by pointing to astronomical circumstances and historical events.
At one point, I show 20th century eclipse charts and plot both North Atlantic Hurricanes and
California Earthquakes against those. All of this I tie into the fact that the sun has a direction that it travels through local space, just as the earth does. In December the earth is crossing the sun's path behind the sun, and in June it crosses the sun's path in front of the sun. NOT EXACTLY in front, but at an angle. In September the earth's direction is opposite to the sun's instantaneous velocity, while in March we are, in general, moving parallel to the sun's direction.
I recommend that quake and weather forecast models should be based on historical data that indicates a trend that repeats and is predictable, like eclipses and the tides; or sunspots, solar flares and CME's if you prefer. My point is that in order for a model to 'work', it needs to be connected to the past with historical examples. If you propose that there is a correlation between events A and B, the best way to back that claim up would be to show instances where A and B happened together (in time).
That is what I am trying to do here. That and keeping up with events that happen on the earth in relationship to astronomical happenings in general. Please see a section entitled 'Hindcasting' down the page. Hindcasting entails examining a historical data base looking for repeating patterns, like comparing the times of winter storms and hurricanes with peak tides. The following is a simultaneous look into the future and the past.
Here is a list of some of my astronomy related videos. My Utube handle is dcsymbols in case you want to do a search there.
You can probably tell that you will get more out of reading this if you have some way to illustrate for yourself, what I am talking about here. Although I include charts, images and videos, I strongly recommend that serious students download Astrolog, a free program that allows you to view the planets heliocentrically and geocentrically. Be sure to go to Info/Default Chart Info (Alt + D) to set your long and lat. The images here were generated with Astrolog. It has an animation function too. If you hit the x and m keys you get a black and white screen.
Don't Happy, Be Worried :-(
When I went to college, I first studied math and physics as an apprentice rocket scientist, until I discovered a used 'Introduction to Philosophy' book the summer that I spent so much time at the A.R.E. in Virginia Beach. That summer I worked outside at a pre-stressed concrete plant manufacturing four 75 foot long sections at a time. We made 'double T's', which are used as ceilings/floors in apartment buildings.
When I went back to school I switched to social science classes and graduated with a degree in Philosophy. I studied Philosophy, Sociology and Psychology at the graduate level before entering the building trades. I frame and maintain buildings and am a rod and instrument person for surveying crews. The first real job I ever had was as a lineman for a survey crew my freshman year at school. (A lineman cuts a line-of-sight through brush or trees so that the instrument people can complete a 'straight shot'.)
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You will please notice that there are no ads here, and I don't have my name spread all over the page with a picture of myself. Some ppl are annoyed that I am not promoting a personality, just presenting my ideas and contrasting approaches to forecasting.
The Short Story - If you look at the history of California earthquakes, you will find that larger quakes there tend to coincide with Pisces Eclipses and with Jupiter/Neptune conjunctions. Recently Jupiter conjoined Neptune (Sept 2009) after the Pisces eclipse. This was followed by a 6.5 quake in N. California and a 7.2 quake in S. California. Chances are good, that another large quake will not occur during this cycle.
If you look again at the history of California earthquakes, you can see that all large California quakes but two can be accounted for with Pisces eclipses and Jup/Nept conjunctions. One of those two was the 1994 Landers quake that happened as Venus conjoined the sun. The 6.5 Jan 10 California quake also coincided with a conjunction of Venus and the sun. The other quake that is not accounted for is the 1872 Owens Valley quake. At the time of that event, Jupiter conjoined Uranus opposite to Saturn, just like we are seeing in 2010.
* The Big Question is whether the April 4th, M 7.2 event in Baja California is the largest event for this series? I am suggesting that it is NOT The Last in the series; whether it will turn out to be the largest, I don't know. What I do know is that indications are good for a big quake around the time of the September equinox. That is - IF THERE IS ANOTHER LARGE QUAKE in this quake series, it will most likely occur near the solsctice in September.
[Concerning the 5.4 California quake on July 7th: Please note that the quake today happened two weeks after the June solstice, while the 7.2 Baja quake on April 4 was two weeks after the March equinox. Note also the the M 6.5 quake January 10th off the coast of N. California happened prior to the solar eclipse Jan 15th, while this quake has preceeded the eclipse of July 11th. The Jan 10th quake was two weeks after the December solstice. The quakes that kicked off this series happened on Sept 19 (after the new moon) and October 2 (before the next new moon) a little less than two weeks after the September equinox.]
For many years I have written about Caliquakes happening when there are Pisces solar eclipses and when Jupiter conjoins Neptune. (See the section "On the Timing of California Earthquakes" down the page.) We have passed the eclipses and Jupiter conjoined Neptune in 2009. In Dec 2008, I posted a video calling for a California quake for the new moon on Sept 18th. The M 5.1 Sept 19th Calexico quake was the largest in the state at that time, that year.
That quake was followed by a 5.2 quake before the next full moon, then a 5.8 before the eclipse in Dec, the 6.5 off the coast of Eureka the day before the sun conjoined Venus, then the 7.2 quake when Mercury and Venus conjoined. That is, we have now seen a 6.5 quake in the north and a 7.2 quake in the south. If you look at California quake history, you will not see more than that much activity in one year. That is, it is unlikely that a quake larger than 7.2 will follow those others; based on Pisces eclipses and Jup/Nept conjunctions. [That is the optimistic outlook.]
March 1872 Owens Valley Quake
Looking at the history of earthquakes in California, we only find two big quakes that were not associated with Jup/Nept conjunctions or with Pisces solar eclipses. One of those was the 1872 Owens Valley quake and the other was the 1994 Northridge quake. In 1994, Uranus was in conjunction with Neptune (geocentrically) at the time of the quake, and the sun conjoined Venus. This year the 6.5 quake off the coast of Eureka in January happened the day before the sun/Venus conjunction and the Haiti quake happened the day after it.
*** Earlier in the year, I had written that if California got through the March equinox period without a large quake, that would increase the probability of a big one happening at the equinox in the fall or the June solstice. Now that we have seen a 7.2 quake on April 4 (following the equinox closely), I will say that the likelihood has decreased for another large quake. The wild card is the fact that Jupiter conjoins Uranus and opposes Saturn this year, just like in 1872 for the 8.5 Owens Valley quake. You can see the chart for that below.
The down side of the situation is that in 1872 there was an 8.5 quake there with no Pisces eclipses and Jupiter did not conjoin Neptune; the tides did not peak at the time of the quake, which followed the March equinox closely. What did happen then is that, just like this year, Jupiter conjoined Uranus opposite to Saturn. The only difference is that in 1872, Saturn was in Capricorn, and will be in Libra this year. In 1994, Uranus and Neptune conjoined near the same location in Capricorn.
At the top of the chart you can see that Mercury, Mars and Neptune were close to one another, as seen from the earth that is; and that they were square to Sat, Uran, and Jup. The moon was opposite to that group of planets, and it is just after the equinox. Down the page you can see the planets for the September equinox in 2010. We see that the sun is crossing the line as well as the moon.
In the image above, Jupiter and Uranus appear to be several degrees apart, when in reality they were in heliocentric conjunction then. That means that from the sun's point of view, Jupiter was passing Uranus. The day of the conjunction was March 16th. The moon had not reached the pair then. The quake 'waited' until after the moon was full, and until the moon opposed the grouping of Mars, Mercury and Neptune.
In 2009, the largest quake in the world happened when the moon conjoined Jupiter and Neptune following their heliocentric conjunction in September. In 2010, the moon will be conjoining Jupiter as it conjoins Uranus on Sept 23 heliocentrically, after the equinox. The earth passes between the sun and those two at a full moon, as they all conjoin (moon, Jup, Uran). If there were to be a quake that would top the 7.2 quake in April, that looks like a good time for it.
You should remember that the 8.8 Chile quake happened at a full moon as the sun conjoined Jupiter, when it was half-way in between Neptune and Uranus.
Since analogues form the basis of all long range forecasts, to be successful, it is essential that the forecaster be a historian of the phenomenon with which they deal. When presenting a forecast (unless one presents one's self as a psychic) we are actually testing an analogue or predictive model, based upon examination of historical data. The method consists of analyzing a data base, in order to try to uncover sequential and recurring patterns that can be used to predict the phenomenon in the future (if that be possible). The key lies in choosing the right data to examine.
This "pattern matching" technique is identical to what we call the "hindcasting" method of astro-meteorology, which entails examining the astronomical configurations that occur at the times of certain events or phenomenon, and projecting any pattern found into the future. [Note that in schizophrenics, this pattern matching function is cancerous, that is, it is
out of control. Thanks to S.O.D. for the link.]
Astro-meteorology and seismology
Astro-meteorology and seismology are studies of significance that depend on both objective and subjective techniques; utilizing empirical, largely analogue methods. Accepting that what happens on the Earth in regard to meteorological and seismic activity can be affected by the positions and motions of the sun, moon, and planets, astro-meteorologists attempt to extract moments of 'astronomical significance' from the flux of time, by identifying 'significant' astronomical configurations.
Please note that long-range forecasts generated by astro-meteorological research should not be seen as competing with those from people in other areas of concern, but rather an attempt to help extend the range of techniques and procedures at the forecaster's disposal; as well as helping to strengthen confidence in popular analogues, or to indicate where they might be unreliable or ineffective.
I would point out that disaster events are quantified in three main ways: 1) as to the magnitude of the event, 2) as to the number of deaths that result, and 3) as to the dollar value of the damage that results. Due to the nature of the events, you will get different looking data results if you search in any one of the three categories. This means that while you can have large quakes that produce a lot of death and damage, a smaller quake can also produce a lot of D&D if it strikes in a city with poorly built structures and no building codes.
On the flip side, you will need to take that into account when you evaluate the outcome of a forecast. Many times powerful storms form that never affect populated areas, and as likely as not, the storms that cause a lot of D&D aren't always the big ones.
* Jan 19 Cayman Islands Earthquake: Is This a Trend? - "It seems as though we’re experiencing an “earthquake season,” but according to the US Geological Survey, earthquakes are as likely to happen at any time of the day, month or year. And while earthquakes do sometimes occur in clusters, there’s no great meaning". Yeah, right.
When they say an earthquake season, what they are referring to is the two months surrounding the Haiti and Chile quakes earlier this year (2010). They are trying to make it appear as if the activity that we saw then was extra-ordinary some how. Take a look at this chart (from 1990) which shows the number of
M 7+ quakes per year from 1900 to 1989. That shows a maximum of 41 quakes in 1943 and a minimum of 6 in 1986. There were only 7 in 1989, the year of the San Jose quake in California that was the strongest since 1906 at that time.
worldwide quake records, we see 16 quakes above 7.0 in 2009, but just 3 so far in 2010. In 1943 the average was over 3 a month!
On The Timing of California Earthquakes - Pisces Eclipses and Jupiter/Neptune conjunctions. Jupiter conjoined Neptune in September of 2009. The M 6.5 quake near Eureka, CA on Jan 9th was the largest in the state since June 2005. The M 7.2 quake on April 4 was the largest earthquake in that area since the 7.3 Landers earthquake of 1992.
Consider the fact that eclipses happen earlier every year, so that they occur in certain months in certain years on a predictable schedule. Pisces solar eclipses happen when the sun is in Pisces and is eclipsed by a new moon that is also in Pisces. These happen from Feb 21 to March 21. Since this occurs every 9+ years, there are eleven times a century that Pisces eclipses can happen. In the 20th century, there were only 10 times since there was no Pisces eclipse in 1960-1.
The reason that I am pointing to Pisces solar eclipses is that one of those occurred before the 18 April 1906 San Francisco quake. See
this eclipse chart with California quakes marked on it, and note the Pisces eclipses. Now have a look at this chart that shows
deaths and dollar amounts on damage from 1972. Note the quakes in 1906, 1933, 1952 and 1971 we all in years that had solar eclipses about Feb 24th.
Note the quake deaths in 1915 and 1925 and see the Pisces eclipses in 1914 and 1924. In 1940, the solar eclipse was in April. Quakes with deaths occurred in 1812 and 1868, both years that saw Pisces eclipses. A look at this top 10 list from the 1970's adds 1857 to our list, and we find a Pisces solar eclipse on 1858. The 1811 and 1812 New Madrid quakes and the 1886 Charleston quakes coincided with Pisces eclipses.
Based on the above information, I forecasted for California earthquakes to get bigger around 1979. There was a 7.2 in 1980. I then forecasted the same for 1989, and 1998 and 9. This year the solar eclipse happens on July 11th, close to where it was in 1972, and we have seen a 5.8, a 6.5 a magnitude 7.2 Caliquake.
The two big California quake that were not near a Pisces eclipse were in 1872 and 1994. Uranus opposed Neptune in 1908 and conjoined it in 1993. The Northridge quake happened in Jan 1994, as the sun conjoined Venus. In 1872, Jupiter conjoined Uranus opposite to Saturn, just as we see happening later in 2010.
There was a Pisces eclipses in 1866, 7 and 8, before Jupiter conjoined Neptune; there was a big quake in 1868. Jupiter opposed Saturn in 1871 and conjoined Uranus in 1872; there was a big quake in 1872. This time there was a big quake in 2005 before the Pisces eclipses of 2007, and there was a 6.5 quake after Jupiter conjoined Neptune. Later in 2010 Jupiter conjoins Uranus and opposes Saturn in 2011.
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The 6.5 quake off the coast of Eureka, CA and the Haiti quake happened on either side of the sun's conjunction with Venus. Looking at an ephemeris for the planet's positions for the 17 Jan 1994 Northridge, CA quake, you can see that it happened as the sun conjoined Venus.
Jan 17 1994 Northridge Quake
In the image above Neptune, Mars and Uranus are at 21/2 Capricorn, and the sun and Venus are at 28 Cap.
On the sun's direction is space - Describing the motion of the sun. If we imagine the sun's orbit to be a Very Large wire loop, we know that the earth does not orbit the sun in the plane of that loop. The earth's orbital plane is tilted 60 degrees to that. We are 'beside' the sun in March, moving in the same approx direction. In June, we pass below and in front of the sun. In Sept, we are moving in the opposite direction parallel to the sun's instantaneous velocity. In Dec we are behind and above the sun, crossing its path again.
2012: Another Venus Transit - June 2012. The transit takes place very near to an eclipse the first week of June. Note that the quake and tsunami 26 Dec 2004 occurred following a Venus transit that year, close to Krakatoa, which erupted following a Venus transit.
If you have followed what has been presented so far, then you should be ready to look at May and June 2012. The image below is taken from an ephemeris, and I have highlighted the important factors then. We begin with the tidal peak at the full moon on May 6th. (The perigee and full moon occur within the same hour.)
On May 14th the sun conjoins Jupiter; there is a solar eclipse on the 20th; Mercury conjoins Jupiter on the 22nd, it conjoins the sun on the 28th, and conjoins Venus on June 2. Venus conjoins the sun on June 6th, and there is a lunar eclipse on the 4th.
At the lunar eclipse, the moon will be full and 'behind' the earth. At the Venus transit, Venus will between the earth and the sun. When Mercury conjoins the sun, it will be behind it. Mercury conjoins the sun, then conjoins Venus just before it conjoins the sun too.
If you have read every thing on this page, and are familiar with all the topics that were discussed, then you are ready for this section where I would like to tie the science back to its astrological base. I would also like to suggest that astrology provides the background for much of the symbolisms that you find in Masonry and the Bible.
In the early 20th century, after having surveyed Stonehenge and other stone temples and monuments, Norman Lockyer proposed that early people used what he called a May/November year, and that the emphasis on the solstices and equinoxes came later. If we begin our summer the first week in May, the June solstice turns out to be mid-summer.
The days in between May and November fall in February and August. In the northern hemisphere, the temperature reaches a statistical low on about Feb 6th, and a high on abt Aug 6th. November and May are median dates in this scheme. These dates in early Feb, May, Aug and Nov, half-way between the solstices and equinoxes, are collectively known as the cross-quarter days.
12/4=3 and 12/3=4. The zodiac signs are classified by Elements or by Modes. As there are 4 elements, we have four groups of 3 air signs, 3 fire signs, 3 earth signs, and 3 water signs. We conceptualize this as four triangles in a circle. The modes are characterized by three squares in a circle, those being the cardinal signs, the fixed signs, and the mutable signs.
The solstices and equinoxes happen on the cusp (beginning) of the cardinal signs, and the cross-quarter days happen in the middle of the next sign, 45+ days later - in fixed signs. Fixed signs follow cardinal signs, while mutable signs precede them.
Again, the cross-quarter days occur in the middle of the fixed signs which are Taurus, Leo, Scorpio and Aquarius. If you look in Ezekiel and Revelations in the Bible you will see four creatures being described as a bull, lion, eagle and a man, which is the same fixed signs.
In Number Ch 2 we see the description of the Hebrew camp in the desert, and we read that the 12 tribes were divided into four groups of three, each group with its own standard. The image above is a Royal Arch illustration from Freemasonry depicting those standards.
The camp is described as having three on the north, three on the east, three south and west, just like the New Jerusalem in Rev 21. Below you can see that this astrology chart fits the description of three on each side and a sanctuary in the middle, like the Hebrew camp.
Look again at the Masonic Compasses and Square and notice that the square is half a square, and the compasses are the top of an equilateral triangle, both in a circle.
Another factor that comes into play is the fact that the earth orbits the sun in an elliptical pattern, which brings it close to the sun the first week in January, and farthest from the sun the first week in July. This line is from 13 Cancer to 13 Capricorn (cardinal signs). Also the sun has a direction of travel. As the earth orbits the sun, we pass in front of, beside and behind the sun in its path. Currently the sun is directed toward alpha Herculi, with a longitude of 15 Sagittarius, just about 30 degrees from the earth's major axis.
The sun is moving from Gemini toward Sag, which is depicted as a horse/man with a bow. Those are mutable signs, along with Pisces and Virgo. So the sun's way relates to mutable signs, the earth's major axis relates to cardinal signs, and the cross-quarter days fall in fixed signs.
If you go to the west side of the Capitol Building in Washington, DC, you can see that the sun sets along Pennsylvania and Maryland Avenues at the cross-quarter days, and that the solstices are not marked.