If you read this whole page, and the associated pages, you will see me point to patterning in California quakes, Atlantic storms and winter storms. I suggest that storms, as a general rule, happen when the tides peak, and that the nature of the storms depends on when the tides peak, meaning in what season. This year, the tides peak in the middle of winter, and next year they peak at the end of it. Our troubles are only half over for this winter, and next winter will pose special problems again. Please see the Winter 2009-10 section below.
Between this winter tidal peak and the one next year, the tides will peak on Sept 8th, the same time that hurricanes peak in number statistically. There are other factors involved that you can read about in the Atlantic hurricane section below. Notice, in the calculator below, that the lunar perigee coincides very closely (2 hours) with the full moon on January 28 and the new moon on September 8 (6 hours). Feb 27th the perigee is only 18 hours before the full moon.
Lunar Perigee and Phase Calculator
To display the date, time, and distance of lunar perigees and apogees
for a given year, enter the year in the box below and press
"Calculate".
The Moon Phase Table
This table gives the time of all new and full Moons in the indicated
year, as well as the last phase of the preceding year and the first
phase of the next year.
In terms of forecasting, we can say that a method is most effective if it can be illustrated to another person who can turn around and do the forecasting on their own. I read about the connection between tides and storms in January of 1974 in Time and Newsweek magazines, and it made sense to me. I recommend that you can use the tables above to forecast meteorological disturbances into the future, and suggest that you compare the times of past geo-political happenings to tidal peaks; especially storms.
*** Jan 12 - A magnitude 7 quake has occurred in Haiti, and has been followed by 5.5 and 5.9 aftershocks. Venus conjoined the sun on the 11th. Venus and the sun were within half a degree of one another at the time of the 6.5 California quake Jan 9th.
Please see : The Cause of Haiti's Latest Earthquake: Is the Worst Yet To Come? A Look At the Seismic Science in the Caribbean, which points out that, "Seismologists know that between 1751 and 1770 Haiti and its environs were struck by three major earthquakes, each about ten years apart", and asks, "If we know they're coming, how can we protect cities in the Carribean so that the devastation in Haiti never happens again"? The same might be asked of hurricanes, which will be Haiti's next problem in a very few months. Once again, "we know they are coming".
Serious students will want to look at the perigee and lunation tables and notice that 1) the Haiti quake preceded the tidal peak by 18 days, 2) the quake and tsunami of Dec 26, 2004 preceded the tidal peak by 15 days, and 3) the magnitude 7.9 quake that killed 87,000 people in China on May 12, 2008, occurred 21 days before the tidal peak on June 3rd that year. That is three out of seven years when quakes with large death rates have preceded tidal peaks by about 2 weeks (1 in the image below). SO, we know about 'when' they are coming!
After a little bit more looking I would like to add the April 18, 1906 San Francisco quake to the above list, since the tides peaked on May 8th that year. That is a 20 day gap. In 1960 there was a big quake in Chile on May 22nd, and the perigee was within 12 hours of the full moon on June 10th; that is 19 days. In 1972 there was a big quake in Nicaragua on Dec 23. The tides had peaked on Nov 21 and the perigee Dec 19 was within 20 hours of the perigee. That time the quake followed the tides, just as the few that I point to in the video above.
[I will remind you that Mt St Helen's 'woke up' with quakes at the tidal peak (2 above), but didn't erupt until two and three months later (3 and 4 above).]
